Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000916 0.001040 0.001171 0.001319 0.001482 0.001654 0.001850
2025-03-09 0.000697 0.000865 0.001055 0.001282 0.001547 0.001843 0.002198
2025-03-16 0.000574 0.000758 0.000975 0.001246 0.001573 0.001952 0.002419
2025-03-23 0.000496 0.000692 0.000932 0.001244 0.001631 0.002092 0.002677
2025-03-30 0.000436 0.000639 0.000898 0.001243 0.001685 0.002222 0.002918
2025-04-06 0.000382 0.000588 0.000859 0.001231 0.001720 0.002327 0.003128
2025-04-13 0.000333 0.000538 0.000816 0.001209 0.001736 0.002406 0.003305
2025-04-20 0.000308 0.000518 0.000811 0.001235 0.001815 0.002564 0.003584
2025-04-27 0.000283 0.000496 0.000801 0.001252 0.001881 0.002705 0.003842
2025-05-04 0.000253 0.000462 0.000771 0.001238 0.001903 0.002787 0.004024
2025-05-11 0.000224 0.000427 0.000737 0.001216 0.001910 0.002848 0.004178
2025-05-18 0.000207 0.000411 0.000728 0.001229 0.001966 0.002976 0.004422
2025-05-25 0.000190 0.000392 0.000716 0.001237 0.002017 0.003099 0.004666
2025-06-01 0.000166 0.000359 0.000678 0.001203 0.002004 0.003133 0.004788
2025-06-08 0.000144 0.000328 0.000640 0.001168 0.001988 0.003160 0.004899
2025-06-15 0.000131 0.000311 0.000625 0.001166 0.002020 0.003254 0.005105
2025-06-22 0.000119 0.000295 0.000611 0.001165 0.002053 0.003351 0.005316
2025-06-29 0.000107 0.000277 0.000592 0.001154 0.002069 0.003423 0.005491
2025-07-06 0.000095 0.000258 0.000567 0.001133 0.002068 0.003469 0.005629
2025-07-13 0.000090 0.000253 0.000570 0.001158 0.002140 0.003624 0.005929
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000246 0.000568 0.001174 0.002198 0.003759 0.006201
2025-07-27 0.000076 0.000232 0.000550 0.001161 0.002208 0.003822 0.006367
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000215 0.000528 0.001139 0.002204 0.003861 0.006498